Why is SMCI Down Today?

SMCI
$29.11
▼ -3.35% ($-1.01)
Last updated: Jan 30, 2026 5:59 PM ET

Overall Confidence: 50%

50% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

PENDING 50% Confidence
🎯 Analysis In Progress
SMCI is down 3.4% today. Full analysis will be available shortly.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.8x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

Market Comparison

SMCI is significantly underperforming the market (-3.0% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.3%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
-1.2%
SMCI
This Stock
-3.35%
vs S&P 500: -3.05%
vs Nasdaq: -2.15%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

50% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, SMCI is expected to trade between:
$28.24 - $29.98

🔔 Get SMCI Alerts

We'll notify you when SMCI's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Jan 30, 2026 5:59 PM
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is SMCI stock down today?

SMCI is down 3.4% today. Full analysis will be available shortly.

Is SMCI stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, SMCI shows 50% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the SMCI stock price target?

SMCI is currently trading at $29.11. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $28.24 - $29.98. See long-term price prediction →

Will SMCI stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 50% probability that SMCI's move continues in the next 1-3 days.

Is SMCI stock oversold or overbought?

SMCI's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 40.2. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for SMCI stock?

SMCI's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.31. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is SMCI outperforming or underperforming the market?

SMCI (-3.35%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-3.0% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.30%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is down -1.20%.

What does MACD indicate for SMCI?

SMCI's MACD (-0.51) is currently above the signal line (-0.62), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 19.4) is weak.

Is SMCI in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, SMCI is in a bearish trend. The price ($29.11) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($30.55) and 50-day SMA ($31.6). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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