SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$12.21
-0.34 (-2.71%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUPV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SUPV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.83
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $12.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.11 to $12.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.33, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: SUPV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.67 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.33, while resistance sits at $12.63.
Market Sentiment: SUPV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.67 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$11.11 -
$12.22
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($14.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with -16.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.11 -
$12.22
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.33
Resistance Level
$12.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.44
Wall Street Target
$14.67
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.47
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$12.73
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$13.00
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.18
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1855.0%)
$55.91
(+358%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 1855.0%)
$41.21
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 1855.0%)
$35.03
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (53x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 52.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$24.44
(+100%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 58.2
Base Case
$22.22
(+82%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 52.9
Bear Case
$7.55
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 45.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SUPV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SUPV price and gamma walls.
