SUPV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUPV - Grupo Supervielle S.A.
$9.43
1.01 (12.00%)
▲
5d:
+7.4%
30d:
+5.13%
90d:
-21.74%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -18.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUPV trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -18.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.97
55.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUPV is currently trading at $9.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.24 to $10.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.1) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.94 (+37.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUPV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUPV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.94 (+37.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.24 -
$10.09
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+12.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.3% below Wall St target ($12.94)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.24 -
$10.09
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.71
Resistance Level
$9.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.12
Wall Street Target
$12.94
(+37.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→13)
$12.64
(+34%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 60.1%)
$99.86
(+959%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 60.1%)
$31.83
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 60.1%)
$27.05
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.22
Bull Case
$17.84
(+101%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.6
Base Case
$16.22
(+83%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$5.51
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$17.34
(+83.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+83.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUPV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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