Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SVM is down 22.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.38
46.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: SVM is currently trading at $9.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.72 to $11.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.45 (+23.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.72 -
$11.95
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SVM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
Silvercorp Metals Inc is a mineral exploration company, engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties. The company's producing mines are located in China, and exploration and development projects are located in China and Ecuador. Its project portfolio comprises the El Domo copper-gold and the Condor gold project in Ecuador. In addition, it operates several silver-lead-zinc mines at the Ying Mining District in Henan Province, China, and the GC silver-lead-zinc mine in Guangdong Province, China. A majority of the company's revenue is generated through the sale of silver concentrates. Its reportable operating segments are the Ying Mining District and GC Mine in China, which derive maximum revenue, and the El Domo and Condor projects in Ecuador.