AG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AG - FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
$20.42
-2.24 (-9.89%)
▼
5d:
-6.59%
30d:
-2.99%
90d:
-11.06%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AG is down 6.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-07-17 with 43,172 OI. Call ratio: 77% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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9 traders called AG this week
91% bullish • 1 bearish
91% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.52
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AG is currently trading at $20.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.73 to $22.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5068.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.05, while resistance sits at $24.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+29.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.05, while resistance sits at $24.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.50 (+29.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.73 -
$22.29
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($26.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.73 -
$22.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.05
Resistance Level
$24.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.27
Wall Street Target
$26.50
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
95.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5068.7%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.93
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$17.55
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$16.27
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$20.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 1.8%)
$26.04
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 1.8%)
$21.56
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 1.8%)
$18.32
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$47.21
(+131%)
Analyst growth 89.4%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$42.92
(+110%)
Market implied 89.4%, PE stable at 38.4
Bear Case
$15.41
(-25%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.59
(+25.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AG price and gamma walls.
