SWX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$82.82
0.18 (0.22%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SWX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.14
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.70
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $82.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.11 to $83.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.71 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.71 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$80.11 -
$83.95
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($91.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$80.11 -
$83.95
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.11
Resistance Level
$86.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.03
Wall Street Target
$91.71
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
93077.6%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.07
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$83.32
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$83.57
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$135.33
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$121.55
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$103.32
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$117.56
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$106.88
(+29%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$55.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carl C Icahn
SELL
1500000 shares
2025-09-25
Brian E Sandoval
BUY
24 shares
2025-09-10
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