SXC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SXC - SUNCOKE ENERGY INC

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
$7.86
-0.08 (-1.01%) ▼
5d: -3.91%
30d: +8.86%
90d: -1.13%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026 14d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SXC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.55
Based on 0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.69
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SXC is currently trading at $7.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.41 to $8.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SXC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.00 (+27.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $7.41 - $8.13
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 25th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 25th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($10.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with -0.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $7.41 - $8.13
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.60 (7.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.66
Resistance Level $8.31
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.04
Wall Street Target $10.00 (+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -28.0%
Profit Margin 3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 13.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.01 (+2%)
2-Year Target $8.16 (+4%)
3-Year Target $8.32 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $7.88 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -3.4%) $11.24 (+43%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: -3.4%) $7.07 (-10%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: -3.4%) $6.01 (-24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case $6.42 (-18%)
Analyst growth -25.3%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case $5.84 (-26%)
Market implied -25.3%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case $5.32 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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