TDW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$82.40
1.60 (1.98%)
▲
5d:
+13.69%
30d:
+6.17%
90d:
+62.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$191.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.62
30.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $82.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.59 to $81.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 531.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$74.59 -
$81.26
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($82.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$74.59 -
$81.26
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.52
(7.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.32
Resistance Level
$82.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.35
Wall Street Target
$82.67
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
531.0%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.79
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$73.43
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$69.32
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$82.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 51.2%)
$466.45
(+466%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 51.2%)
$278.10
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 51.2%)
$236.38
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.64
Bull Case
$74.08
(-2%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$67.35
(-11%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$49.29
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$98.10
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
5195 shares
2026-03-05
Samuel R Rubio
SELL
22461 shares
2026-03-05
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-23
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