TDW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDW - Tidewater, Inc.
$84.38
0.94 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
+4.43%
30d:
+0.69%
90d:
+67.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.88
28.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDW is currently trading at $84.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.71 to $81.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 531.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.31, while resistance sits at $87.63.
Market Sentiment: TDW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.31, while resistance sits at $87.63.
Market Sentiment: TDW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$74.71 -
$81.42
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($82.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$74.71 -
$81.42
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.32
Resistance Level
$87.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.68
Wall Street Target
$82.67
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
531.0%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 15.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.50
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$76.80
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$73.26
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$84.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 51.2%)
$428.34
(+408%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 51.2%)
$284.78
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 51.2%)
$242.07
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.64
Bull Case
$74.08
(-2%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$67.35
(-11%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$49.29
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$97.49
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 12:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
5195 shares
2026-03-05
Samuel R Rubio
SELL
22461 shares
2026-03-05
Daniel A Hudson
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-23
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