TECK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TECK - Teck Resources Limited
$48.54
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
-17.58%
90d:
+1.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
TECK is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-06-18 with 6,952 OI. Call ratio: 83% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TECK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TECK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.73
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.89
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TECK is currently trading at $48.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.27 to $57.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TECK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.55, while resistance sits at $50.69.
Market Sentiment: TECK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TECK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.55, while resistance sits at $50.69.
Market Sentiment: TECK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$48.27 -
$57.70
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TECK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($46.06)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$48.27 -
$57.70
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.55
Resistance Level
$50.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.62
Wall Street Target
$46.06
(-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 16.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.41
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$40.64
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$37.18
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$48.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 4.8%)
$99.26
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 4.8%)
$55.91
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 4.8%)
$47.52
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$93.53
(+94%)
Analyst growth 87.4%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$85.03
(+76%)
Market implied 87.4%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$30.84
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$63.48
(+30.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TECK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TECK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TECK price and gamma walls.
