TECK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TECK - Teck Resources Limited
$53.76
-4.55 (-7.80%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TECK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TECK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.75
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TECK is currently trading at $53.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.52 to $53.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TECK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.73, while resistance sits at $60.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TECK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $47.88. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TECK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.73, while resistance sits at $60.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: TECK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $47.88. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$47.52 -
$53.99
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading 10.9% above Wall St target ($47.88)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$47.52 -
$53.99
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.73
Resistance Level
$60.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.69
Wall Street Target
$47.88
(-10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.6%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.01
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$52.27
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$51.53
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$53.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 25.4%)
$141.55
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 25.4%)
$105.97
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 25.4%)
$90.07
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case
$108.22
(+101%)
Analyst growth 73.1%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$98.38
(+83%)
Market implied 73.1%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$38.66
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$56.03
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TECK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TECK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TECK price and gamma walls.
