TLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLS - Telos Corporation Common Stock
$4.33
0.14 (3.34%)
▲
5d:
-1.81%
30d:
+1.41%
90d:
-14.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TLS is down 4.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-05-15 with 694 OI. Call ratio: 85% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TLS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -29.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TLS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -29.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.71
43.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLS is currently trading at $4.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.03 to $4.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (47.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.92, while resistance sits at $4.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+61.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.92, while resistance sits at $4.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TLS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+61.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$4.03 -
$4.38
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 61.7% below Wall St target ($7.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.03 -
$4.38
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.65
(15.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.93
Resistance Level
$4.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.98
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+61.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Profit Margin
-22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 47.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.16
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→48)
$8.85
(+104%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 108.2%)
$19.23
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 108.2%)
$14.61
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 108.2%)
$12.42
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 47.6
Stabilization Target:
$12.14
(+180.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+180.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Fredrick Schaufeld
SELL
22239 shares
2025-12-12
Gary Mark Bendza
SELL
242337 shares
2025-12-11
Fredrick Schaufeld
SELL
81947 shares
2025-11-26
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