TLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLS - Telos Corporation Common Stock
$4.09
-0.15 (-3.54%)
▼
5d:
-6.83%
30d:
+1.74%
90d:
-21.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TLS is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-04-17 with 5,973 OI. Call ratio: 99% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.71
46.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLS is currently trading at $4.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.00 to $4.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (48.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.79, while resistance sits at $4.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+71.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.79, while resistance sits at $4.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+71.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$4.00 -
$4.37
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 71.1% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.8%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.00 -
$4.37
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.79
Resistance Level
$4.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.04
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+71.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
77.4%
Profit Margin
-22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 48.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.68
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.31
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→48)
$9.00
(+120%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 108.2%)
$19.23
(+370%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 108.2%)
$13.80
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 108.2%)
$11.73
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 48.4
Stabilization Target:
$12.34
(+201.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+201.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
22239 shares
2025-12-12
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SELL
242337 shares
2025-12-11
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SELL
81947 shares
2025-11-26
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