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TPH Stock Price Prediction 2026

Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.

$33.47
+$0.12 (+0.36%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: February 2, 2026

TPH Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that TPH stock will rise to approximately $33.62 by 2026. This represents a potential 0.4% growth from the current trading price of $33.47. The overall market sentiment for TPH is currently neutral, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.

Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 10.0, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by -0.5%. TPH shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.

Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a downtrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 50.0, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.

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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
  • MACD converging near zero line - potential energy building
  • Volume showing accumulation (CMF: 0.0892)
  • Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
MACD: Converging | Volume: Accumulation
Fair Value Estimate
-8.7% Overvalued
Fair Value: $30.56 (Current: $33.47)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears overvalued at current levels. Consider waiting for a better entry point or reassess fundamentals.

PEG Ratio
1.00
Fair
Current P/E
14.08
Fair P/E
12.86
Earnings Growth
14.1%
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Volume Trend: Accumulation

Institutional Buying Detected - Smart money is accumulating shares

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): 0.089
Money Flow Index (MFI): 32.0

Positive CMF indicates money flowing into the stock. This bullish signal suggests institutional interest.

Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $33.48 +0.0%
90 Days $33.51 +0.1%
6 Months $33.55 +0.2%
1 Year $33.62 +0.4%
2 Years EXTENDED $33.89 +1.3%
3 Years EXTENDED $34.16 +2.1%

More TPH Analysis

Why is TPH Moving? Buy or Sell TPH? TPH Full Analysis TPH Trendline Analysis
TPH Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$42.02 (+25.6%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$33.62 (+0.4%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$23.53 (-29.7%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
50.0
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
0.09

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
9.96
Forward P/E
14.08
P/S Ratio (TTM)
0.78x
Very Undervalued
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
-0.5%
Market Cap
$2,918M
Analyst Target
$38.20
52-Week High
$33.67
52-Week Low
$33.35

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the TPH stock price prediction for 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, TPH is predicted to reach $33.62 by 2026, representing a potential 0.4% increase from the current price of $33.47.

Is TPH stock a good buy right now?

Our analysis suggests TPH is a "HOLD" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 0.4% upside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

What is TPH 52-week high and low?

TPH has a 52-week high of $33.66 and a 52-week low of $33.35. The stock is currently trading 0.6% below its 52-week high.

What is the technical analysis for TPH?

TPH is currently in a downtrend trend. The RSI of 50.0 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.

Where will TPH stock be in 3 years?

Our long-term projection estimates TPH could reach $34.16 by 2028, representing a 2.1% gain from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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