TPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPR - Tapestry, Inc. Common Stock
$129.67
2.76 (2.17%)
ā²
5d:
+2.77%
30d:
+1.49%
90d:
+16.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
2d
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1 traders called TPR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: TPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: TPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.32
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.28
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPR is currently trading at $129.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.78 to $132.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.75, while resistance sits at $133.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.75, while resistance sits at $133.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$127.78 -
$132.87
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($134.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$127.78 -
$132.87
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.75
Resistance Level
$133.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.07
Wall Street Target
$134.67
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.0%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.63
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$122.38
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$120.18
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20ā21)
$126.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$196.71
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.7%)
$177.02
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 11.7%)
$150.46
(+19%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.52 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.63
Bull Case
$153.24
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$126.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$97.09
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$134.08
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 3:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-09-26
Alan Ka Ming Lau
SELL
11320 shares
2025-09-11
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-27
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPR price and gamma walls.
