TSM Stock Price Prediction 2026
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections
TSM Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that TSM stock will fall to approximately $302.89 by 2026. This represents a potential 4.3% contraction from the current trading price of $316.50. The overall market sentiment for TSM is currently neutral, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.
Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 31.5, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by 0.3%. TSM shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.
Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a downtrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 36.1, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.
- Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
- Volume showing distribution (CMF: -0.0683)
- Price near support at $315.26
Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 8.9% upside potential.
Volume Trend: Distribution
Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed
Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.
Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy
Analysts project the stock to decline. Options analysis identifies premium selling opportunities (covered calls, credit spreads).
| Timeframe | Target Price | Potential Return |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Days | $315.41 | -0.3% |
| 90 Days | $313.10 | -1.1% |
| 6 Months | $309.69 | -2.2% |
| 1 Year | $302.89 | -4.3% |
| 2 Years EXTENDED | $289.87 | -8.4% |
| 3 Years EXTENDED | $277.40 | -12.4% |
More TSM Analysis
Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)
Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align
Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory
Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results
Technical Indicators
Key Fundamentals
Options Activity
Recommendation: Moderate unusual activity. Monitor closely.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the TSM stock price prediction for 2026?
Based on our AI analysis, TSM is predicted to reach $302.89 by 2026, representing a potential 4.3% decrease from the current price of $316.50.
Is TSM stock a good buy right now?
Our analysis suggests TSM is a "HOLD" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 4.3% downside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.
What is TSM 52-week high and low?
TSM has a 52-week high of $326.74 and a 52-week low of $314.17. The stock is currently trading 3.1% below its 52-week high.
What is the technical analysis for TSM?
TSM is currently in a downtrend trend. The RSI of 36.1 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.
Where will TSM stock be in 3 years?
Our long-term projection estimates TSM could reach $277.40 by 2028, representing a 12.4% decline from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.