TTWO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TTWO - Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
$199.87
1.67 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
+2.64%
30d:
-7.37%
90d:
-21.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
TTWO is up 3.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $200 2026-06-18 with 10,793 OI. Put ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TTWO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -21.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TTWO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -21.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.97
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TTWO is currently trading at $199.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $196.73 to $212.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.0) compared to its historical average (108.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTWO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $203.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $276.81 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TTWO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $203.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $276.81 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$196.73 -
$212.55
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($276.81)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$196.73 -
$212.55
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$187.63
Resistance Level
$203.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
53.05
Wall Street Target
$276.81
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.7%
Profit Margin
-60.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
53.1 vs 108.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$179.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$161.89
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$145.71
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→109)
$299.09
(+50%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.1 to 108.9
Stabilization Target:
$410.27
(+105.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+105.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TTWO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ellen F Siminoff
SELL
413 shares
2026-03-16
Michael Dornemann
SELL
1390 shares
2026-03-05
Strauss Zelnick
SELL
7946 shares
2026-03-03
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Advanced TTWO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TTWO price and gamma walls.
