TUYA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TUYA - Tuya Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
$2.09
-0.02 (-0.95%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TUYA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TUYA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TUYA is currently trading at $2.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.13 to $2.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 257.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TUYA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TUYA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.33 (+59.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TUYA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TUYA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.33 (+59.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$2.13 -
$2.26
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.2% below Wall St target ($3.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.13 -
$2.26
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.04
Resistance Level
$2.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.39
Wall Street Target
$3.33
(+59.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
257.9%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.05
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$2.02
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$1.99
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$2.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$2.84
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 0.0%)
$2.09
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 0.0%)
$1.78
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.08
Bull Case
$3.77
(+80%)
Analyst growth 59.4%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$3.43
(+64%)
Market implied 59.4%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$1.46
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$2.19
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TUYA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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