UGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UGI - UGI Corporation
$36.07
-0.35 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
-0.93%
30d:
-2.72%
90d:
-4.4%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Get Alerted When UGI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UGI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UGI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.38
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UGI is currently trading at $36.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.22 to $37.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UGI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UGI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.50 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$36.22 -
$37.24
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($44.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.22 -
$37.24
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.25
Resistance Level
$37.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.62
Wall Street Target
$44.50
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.31
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.57
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$33.84
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$36.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.7%)
$100.15
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 9.7%)
$47.61
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$40.47
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.69
Bull Case
$49.08
(+36%)
Analyst growth 26.2%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$44.61
(+24%)
Market implied 26.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$24.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$38.36
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean Felix Tematio
SELL
12840 shares
2026-02-11
Joseph L Hartz
SELL
5000 shares
2025-12-17
Joseph L Hartz
SELL
15000 shares
2025-11-25
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Gas by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$49 | 58 HOLD |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$183 | 61 BUY |
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 54 HOLD |
|
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Cor… |
BUY
7 analysts |
$149 | 63 BUY |
|
SR
Spire Inc |
HOLD
10 analysts |
$96 | 58 HOLD |
