USCB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

USCB - USCB Financial Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$19.59
0.16 (0.80%) ▲
5d: +3.08%
30d: +7.58%
90d: +13.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: USCB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.06
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.43
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: USCB is currently trading at $19.59, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.54 to $19.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, USCB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.79, while resistance sits at $20.79.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.62 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $18.54 - $19.71
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.62)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $18.54 - $19.71
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.79
Resistance Level $20.79
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.62
Wall Street Target $21.63 (+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -79.2%
Profit Margin 29.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 8.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.37 (0%)
2-Year Target $19.31 (-1%)
3-Year Target $19.26 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $19.44 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.9%) $68.68 (+253%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 10.9%) $26.54 (+37%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 10.9%) $22.55 (+16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.57
Bull Case $29.78 (+53%)
Analyst growth 43.6%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case $27.07 (+39%)
Market implied 43.6%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case $12.82 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 8.7
Stabilization Target: $19.62 (+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.0%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 2:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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