VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VAL - Valaris Limited

DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
$57.73
-1.06 (-1.80%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.97
Based on -6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.82
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $57.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.08 to $54.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.25, while resistance sits at $60.45.

Market Sentiment: VAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $50.08 - $54.59
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($55.60)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $50.08 - $54.59
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $53.25
Resistance Level $60.45
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.45
Wall Street Target $55.60 (-5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 201.1%
Profit Margin 16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 16.5 vs 15.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.02 (+2%)
2-Year Target $61.29 (+4%)
3-Year Target $62.57 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→16) PE COMPRESSION $58.96 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -16.1%) $58.10 (+-1%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -16.1%) $42.86 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: -16.1%) $36.43 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case $40.00 (-31%)
Analyst growth -36.1%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case $36.36 (-37%)
Market implied -36.1%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case $38.68 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VAL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VAL price and gamma walls.

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