VAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAL - Valaris Limited
$98.04
-0.36 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+5.87%
90d:
+97.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$216.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$134.20
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAL is currently trading at $98.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.54 to $97.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 446.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $90.84, while resistance sits at $105.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $65.92. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $90.84, while resistance sits at $105.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $65.92. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$90.54 -
$97.59
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 32.8% above Wall St target ($65.92)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$90.54 -
$97.59
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.84
Resistance Level
$105.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.22
Wall Street Target
$65.93
(-32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
446.6%
Profit Margin
41.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 16.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.12
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$90.35
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$86.74
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$98.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 109.1%)
$520.01
(+430%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 109.1%)
$330.88
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 109.1%)
$281.25
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.86
Bull Case
$50.89
(-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case
$46.26
(-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.7
Bear Case
$62.91
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$110.99
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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