VET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VET - VERMILION ENERGY INC.
$13.61
-0.30 (-2.16%)
▼
5d:
+4.37%
30d:
+26.37%
90d:
+66.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
VET is down 7.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 2,946 OI. Call ratio: 83% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VET shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VET shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.00
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VET is currently trading at $13.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.79 to $13.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 59.2) is in line with its historical norms (54.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $14.82.
Market Sentiment: VET has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.06. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VET is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $14.82.
Market Sentiment: VET has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $11.06. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$10.79 -
$13.14
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 18.8% above Wall St target ($11.06)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 9.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.79 -
$13.14
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.02
Resistance Level
$14.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
59.17
Wall Street Target
$11.06
(-18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.9%
Profit Margin
-38.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
59.2 vs 54.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.96
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$14.33
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$14.70
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 59→55)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$6.75
(-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case
$6.13
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case
$8.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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