VFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VFF - Village Farms International, Inc. Common Shares

Agricultural Production-Crops
$3.30
-0.08 (-2.37%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VFF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.34
24.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VFF is currently trading at $3.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.39 to $3.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VFF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VFF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.92 (+45.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $3.39 - $3.64
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 45.5% below Wall St target ($4.92)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.39 - $3.64
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.25
Resistance Level $3.65
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.10
Wall Street Target $4.92 (+45.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.4%
Profit Margin 6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.1 vs 17.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.31 (-2%)
2-Year Target $3.25 (-4%)
3-Year Target $3.18 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→17) $3.38 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 61.5%) $15.81 (+368%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 61.5%) $11.41 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 13.7, Growth: 61.5%) $9.70 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.99 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.28
Bull Case $4.08 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case $3.38 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case $2.59 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 17.1
Stabilization Target: $3.59 (+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VFF Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VFF price and gamma walls.

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