VHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VHI - Valhi, Inc.
$14.17
0.10 (0.71%)
▲
5d:
+0.78%
30d:
+1.43%
90d:
+17.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.96
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $14.17, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.52 to $14.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.0) is in line with its historical norms (3.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$13.52 -
$14.29
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.7% above Wall St target ($12.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 2.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.52 -
$14.29
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.75
Resistance Level
$14.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.05
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.7%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 3.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.20
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$14.32
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$14.45
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.90
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$29.88
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$27.16
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$9.23
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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