VHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VHI - Valhi, Inc.
$14.19
0.27 (1.94%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VHI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.48
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VHI is currently trading at $14.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.38 to $14.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.1) is in line with its historical norms (3.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.29, while resistance sits at $15.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VHI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.29, while resistance sits at $15.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$12.38 -
$14.39
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VHI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.4% above Wall St target ($12.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with -5.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.38 -
$14.39
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.29
Resistance Level
$15.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.09
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.7%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 3.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.59
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.00
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$15.42
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.32
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$31.26
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$28.42
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$9.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced VHI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VHI price and gamma walls.