VITL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VITL - Vital Farms, Inc. Common Stock
$28.45
0.32 (1.14%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When VITL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called VITL this week
0% bullish • 2 bearish
0% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VITL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VITL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.18
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.54
6.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VITL is currently trading at $28.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.18 to $31.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 125.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VITL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.65, while resistance sits at $30.49.
Market Sentiment: VITL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.45 (+75.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VITL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $26.65, while resistance sits at $30.49.
Market Sentiment: VITL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.45 (+75.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$28.18 -
$31.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VITL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.8% below Wall St target ($49.45)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.18 -
$31.77
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.65
Resistance Level
$30.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.50
Wall Street Target
$49.45
(+75.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
125.0%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 18.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$26.25
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$25.36
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$28.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$58.13
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 15.2%)
$43.01
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$36.56
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.32
Bull Case
$38.66
(+36%)
Analyst growth 29.2%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case
$35.15
(+24%)
Market implied 29.2%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$18.50
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 18.3
Stabilization Target:
$31.20
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VITL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Russell Diez-Canseco
SELL
9667 shares
2025-10-08
Russell Diez-Canseco
SELL
16700 shares
2025-09-10
Matthew Ohayer
SELL
100000 shares
2025-09-04
Top Rated Farm Products Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm Products by analyst ratings.
Advanced VITL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VITL price and gamma walls.
