VNOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNOM - Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$45.40
-1.59 (-3.38%)
▼
5d:
-4.34%
30d:
+1.38%
90d:
+16.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
VNOM is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-06-18 with 2,389 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNOM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNOM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.91
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.68
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $45.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.33 to $47.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.06 (+19.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.06 (+19.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$44.33 -
$47.37
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.06)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$44.33 -
$47.37
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.98
Resistance Level
$49.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.64
Wall Street Target
$54.06
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
89.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.8%
Profit Margin
-5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.31
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$39.44
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$36.75
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→26)
$45.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.1%)
$52.40
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 2.1%)
$48.38
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 2.1%)
$41.13
(-9%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$56.10
(+23.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced VNOM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNOM price and gamma walls.