VNOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VNOM - Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$42.34
0.35 (0.83%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNOM trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.58
Based on -3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.36
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $42.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.80 to $40.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.7) compared to its historical average (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VNOM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.11 (+19.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $36.80 - $40.07
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

VNOM is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.11)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 90.0% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $36.80 - $40.07
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.58
Resistance Level $43.00
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.69
Wall Street Target $50.11 (+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 90.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -54.8%
Profit Margin 21.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.8% premium
PE vs Historical 28.7 vs 24.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.43 (+6%)
2-Year Target $47.00 (+12%)
3-Year Target $49.73 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→24) PE COMPRESSION $41.95 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.7, Growth: -10.8%) $30.61 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -10.8%) $23.79 (-43%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -10.8%) $20.22 (-52%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case $26.70 (-36%)
Analyst growth -39.8%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case $24.27 (-42%)
Market implied -39.8%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case $27.40 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VNOM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VNOM price and gamma walls.

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