ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ET - Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
$20.15
-0.21 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
+4.19%
30d:
+6.78%
90d:
+7.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
ET is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 39,932 OI. Call ratio: 91% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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6 traders called ET this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.57
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $20.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.89 to $19.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.98 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.98 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.89 -
$19.96
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.98)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with 32.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.89 -
$19.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.14
Resistance Level
$20.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.54
Wall Street Target
$22.98
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.86
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$21.59
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$22.34
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$45.30
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$25.74
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$21.88
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case
$29.99
(+49%)
Analyst growth 33.9%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$27.26
(+35%)
Market implied 33.9%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$13.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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