VREX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VREX - Varex Imaging Corporation Common Stock

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$10.50
-0.12 (-1.13%) ▼
5d: -2.6%
30d: -19.29%
90d: -9.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VREX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.0% annual earnings decline despite 453% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.36
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.88
24.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VREX is currently trading at $10.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.46 to $12.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 453.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VREX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.40 (+75.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $10.46 - $12.52
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 75.2% below Wall St target ($18.40)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.46 - $12.52
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.09 (10.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.27
Resistance Level $11.23
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.97
Wall Street Target $18.40 (+75.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 453.4%
Profit Margin -7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.0 vs 13.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.56 (-9%)
2-Year Target $8.70 (-17%)
3-Year Target $7.91 (-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→13) $10.48 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 16.1%) $33.88 (+223%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 16.1%) $16.42 (+56%)
Bear: (PE: 8.5, Growth: 16.1%) $13.95 (+33%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 13.2
Stabilization Target: $13.90 (+32.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +32.4%
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Last updated: April 05, 2026 5:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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