WAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAL - Western Alliance Bancorporation
$89.15
-1.06 (-1.18%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
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1 traders called WAL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.74
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.84
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAL is currently trading at $89.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.81 to $89.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.62, while resistance sits at $92.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.38 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.62, while resistance sits at $92.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.38 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$85.81 -
$89.44
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WAL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($102.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$85.81 -
$89.44
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.62
Resistance Level
$92.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.63
Wall Street Target
$102.38
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.8%
Profit Margin
28.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.86
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$85.58
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$83.35
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$89.53
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$402.45
(+346%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 15.2%)
$137.77
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 15.2%)
$117.11
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.73
Bull Case
$132.99
(+47%)
Analyst growth 35.2%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$120.90
(+34%)
Market implied 35.2%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$60.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$96.90
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced WAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WAL price and gamma walls.
