WEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WEX - WEX Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$153.90
-3.73 (-2.37%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WEX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$217.86
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.27
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WEX is currently trading at $153.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.73 to $159.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WEX is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $150.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $176.00 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $151.73 - $159.72
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 3th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($176.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 4.0% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $151.73 - $159.72
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$7.85 (5.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $150.64
Resistance Level $163.07
Current Trend Support Break

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.94
Wall Street Target $176.00 (+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.7%
Profit Margin 10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.1% premium
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 8.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $159.36 (+1%)
2-Year Target $161.12 (+2%)
3-Year Target $162.89 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $158.47 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.6%) $531.09 (+237%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 10.6%) $212.98 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: 10.6%) $181.03 (+15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.68
Bull Case $344.74 (+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case $313.40 (+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case $106.56 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ann Elena Drew SELL 1931 shares 2025-08-06

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Advanced WEX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WEX price and gamma walls.

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