WYNN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WYNN - Wynn Resorts Ltd
$96.47
-0.12 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-4.61%
30d:
-10.83%
90d:
-22.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
WYNN is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $140 2026-05-15 with 6,369 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WYNN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WYNN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.99
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.69
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WYNN is currently trading at $96.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.35 to $109.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WYNN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WYNN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.83 (+46.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WYNN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $96.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WYNN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $141.83 (+46.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$99.35 -
$109.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WYNN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.8% below Wall St target ($141.83)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$99.35 -
$109.86
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.15
Resistance Level
$105.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.61
Wall Street Target
$141.83
(+46.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.3%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 20.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.86
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$81.75
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$75.21
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$96.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.2%)
$211.93
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 15.2%)
$147.74
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$125.58
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.14
Bull Case
$216.66
(+114%)
Analyst growth 97.0%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$196.96
(+95%)
Market implied 97.0%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$67.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$124.33
(+28.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WYNN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-10-31
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-10-30
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-10-30
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Advanced WYNN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WYNN price and gamma walls.
