WYNN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WYNN - Wynn Resorts Ltd

HOTELS & MOTELS
$107.45
-1.46 (-1.34%) ā–¼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 11d
Smart Money Accumulation

WYNN is down 5.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $110 2026-03-20 with 14,613 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ“Š HOLD: WYNN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$188.72
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.18
8.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WYNN is currently trading at $107.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.40 to $122.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WYNN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $107.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.44 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $113.40 - $122.29
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($144.44)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $113.40 - $122.29
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $107.15
Resistance Level $117.99
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.45
Wall Street Target $144.44 (+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -29.8%
Profit Margin 7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.5 vs 21.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $106.95 (-2%)
2-Year Target $105.02 (-4%)
3-Year Target $103.13 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→22) $108.95 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.0%) $190.35 (+75%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 17.0%) $174.53 (+60%)
Bear: (PE: 17.4, Growth: 17.0%) $148.35 (+36%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.52
Bull Case $146.32 (+36%)
Analyst growth 17.8%, PE expands to 27.5
Base Case $133.02 (+24%)
Market implied 17.8%, PE stable at 25.0
Bear Case $76.76 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
šŸ’” Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 21.6
Stabilization Target: $115.05 (+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
šŸ”„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patricia Mulroy SELL 4438 shares 2025-09-02
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-08-26

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Advanced WYNN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WYNN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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