Is XPEV stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, XPEV is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: XPEV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of XPEV stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for XPEV to be between $19.12 and $20.89. The current price is $17.98.

What is the analyst price target for XPEV?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for XPEV is $28.23. This implies a potential upside of 51.9% from current levels.

XPEV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

XPEV - XPeng Inc. American depositary shares, each representing two Class A ordinary shares

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

$17.98

-0.61 (-3.28%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your XPEV Gains

Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Mar 17, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

XPEV is down 6.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-03-20 with 19,507 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: XPEV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$28.17

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$17.49

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: XPEV is currently trading at $17.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.12 to $20.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, XPEV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: XPEV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.23 (+51.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $19.12 - $20.89

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
BULLISH: Trading 51.9% below Wall St target ($28.23)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $19.12 - $20.89

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.08

Resistance Level $20.84

Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.12

Wall Street Target $28.23 (+51.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 101.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.2%

Profit Margin -4.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 7.1 vs 7.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $18.13 (-3%)

2-Year Target $17.67 (-5%)

3-Year Target $17.23 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→8) $18.63 (+0%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.7

Stabilization Target: $20.10 (+8.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +8.1%

Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced XPEV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's XPEV price and gamma walls.

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More Analysis for XPEV

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