ABNB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABNB - Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$129.37
-2.40 (-1.82%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
12d
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1 traders called ABNB this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ABNB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ABNB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.92
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABNB is currently trading at $129.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.94 to $137.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABNB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $127.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABNB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $127.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$131.94 -
$137.79
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($143.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$131.94 -
$137.79
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.83
Resistance Level
$137.21
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.30
Wall Street Target
$143.23
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Profit Margin
22.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 27.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.03
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$132.30
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$132.56
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 17.0%)
$211.20
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.0%)
$172.51
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.0%)
$146.63
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.20
Bull Case
$167.13
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$151.94
(+15%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 31.5
Bear Case
$89.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Aristotle N Balogh
SELL
600 shares
2025-10-16
Joseph Gebbia
SELL
236000 shares
2025-10-13
Aristotle N Balogh
SELL
600 shares
2025-10-09
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Advanced ABNB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ABNB price and gamma walls.
