Is CCL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CCL is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: CCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CCL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CCL to be between $25.62 and $28.07. The current price is $25.20.

What is the analyst price target for CCL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CCL is $34.01. This implies a potential upside of 35.0% from current levels.

CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCL - Carnival Corporation

WATER TRANSPORTATION

$25.20

0.17 (0.68%) ▲

5d: -6.67%

30d: -12.56%

90d: -22.7%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CCL Gains

Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jun 23, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

CCL is down 8.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 26,882 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 16.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$44.65

Based on 10.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$27.72

9.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $25.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.62 to $28.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.41, while resistance sits at $28.05.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.01 (+35.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $25.62 - $28.07

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 35.0% below Wall St target ($34.01)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $25.62 - $28.07

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.41

Resistance Level $28.05

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.71

Wall Street Target $34.01 (+35.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 35.8%

Profit Margin 11.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.7 vs 10.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $24.47 (-3%)

2-Year Target $23.76 (-6%)

3-Year Target $23.07 (-9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→11) $25.20 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.5%) $90.59 (+260%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 16.5%) $39.89 (+58%)

Bear: (PE: 8.3, Growth: 16.5%) $33.91 (+35%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 11.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27

Bull Case $31.49 (+25%)

Analyst growth 14.4%, PE expands to 12.1

Base Case $28.63 (+14%)

Market implied 14.4%, PE stable at 11.0

Bear Case $17.02 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.6

Stabilization Target: $27.52 (+9.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +9.2%

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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sir Jonathon Band SELL 11988 shares 2026-04-01

Sir Jonathon Band SELL 12 shares 2026-03-31

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.

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