AG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AG - FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
$17.82
0.78 (4.58%)
▲
5d:
+8.0%
30d:
-15.1%
90d:
-19.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 5069% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 5069% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.61
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.38
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AG is currently trading at $17.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.55 to $19.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5068.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.67, while resistance sits at $19.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.88 (+50.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.67, while resistance sits at $19.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.88 (+50.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.55 -
$19.83
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.8% below Wall St target ($26.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.55 -
$19.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.67
Resistance Level
$19.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.13
Wall Street Target
$26.88
(+50.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
95.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5068.7%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 21.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.18
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$14.69
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$13.34
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→22)
$17.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.0%)
$27.85
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 5.0%)
$20.62
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$17.53
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$35.11
(+97%)
Analyst growth 87.3%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$31.91
(+79%)
Market implied 87.3%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$11.59
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.76
(+33.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AG price and gamma walls.
