AME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AME - Ametek, Inc.

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$223.98
-2.64 (-1.16%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: AME is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$271.99
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$168.89
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AME is currently trading at $223.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $207.71 to $217.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.3) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $227.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: AME has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $207.71 - $217.92
Company Quality Score 69/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($232.41)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $207.71 - $217.92
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $210.78
Resistance Level $227.79
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.32
Wall Street Target $232.41 (+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 8.8%
Profit Margin 20.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.0% premium
PE vs Historical 28.3 vs 25.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $233.42 (+3%)
2-Year Target $240.42 (+6%)
3-Year Target $247.63 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28β†’26) PE COMPRESSION $226.47 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.3, Growth: 8.7%) $290.96 (+28%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.7%) $229.11 (+1%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.7%) $194.74 (-14%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.33
Bull Case $306.80 (+35%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case $278.91 (+23%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case $149.98 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Dan Newhouse BUY 2025-08-18

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Advanced AME Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AME price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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