AME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AME - Ametek, Inc.
$208.37
-0.87 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
-12.9%
90d:
-0.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AME is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-04-17 with 995 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AME shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AME shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$294.01
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$182.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AME is currently trading at $208.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $215.52 to $235.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.9) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $207.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AME has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.50 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AME is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $207.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AME has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.50 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$215.52 -
$235.31
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AME? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($250.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$215.52 -
$235.31
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$207.32
Resistance Level
$220.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.87
Wall Street Target
$250.50
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
20.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$202.33
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$196.46
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$190.76
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→26)
$208.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$264.62
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.3%)
$247.81
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$210.64
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.41
Bull Case
$313.26
(+47%)
Analyst growth 36.0%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$284.78
(+34%)
Market implied 36.0%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$142.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.9 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$227.87
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-09
Thomas M Montgomery
SELL
6388 shares
2025-12-22
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Advanced AME Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AME price and gamma walls.
