AMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMP - Ameriprise Financial, Inc.
$527.19
5.83 (1.12%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMP is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AMP is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$654.85
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$406.61
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMP is currently trading at $527.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $494.68 to $509.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $543.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $543.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$494.68 -
$509.82
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($545.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$494.68 -
$509.82
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$491.04
Resistance Level
$543.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.54
Wall Street Target
$545.30
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
86.6%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$532.31
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$543.49
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$554.90
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$522.28
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.9%)
$1163.62
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 7.9%)
$654.19
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 7.9%)
$556.06
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $36.33
Bull Case
$627.46
(+20%)
Analyst growth 14.5%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$570.42
(+9%)
Market implied 14.5%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$338.87
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heather J Melloh
SELL
1500 shares
2025-09-04
William F Truscott
SELL
9929 shares
2025-08-19
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Advanced AMP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMP price and gamma walls.
