BX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BX - Blackstone Inc.
$122.78
3.23 (2.70%)
▲
5d:
+7.53%
30d:
+6.85%
90d:
+7.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.26
24.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BX is currently trading at $122.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.54 to $122.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $112.06, while resistance sits at $127.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.30 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $112.06, while resistance sits at $127.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.30 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$114.54 -
$122.79
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($143.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.54 -
$122.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.06
Resistance Level
$127.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.29
Wall Street Target
$143.30
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Profit Margin
21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.34
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$116.00
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$112.75
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$123.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.0%)
$336.17
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 27.0%)
$251.38
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 27.0%)
$213.68
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.90
Bull Case
$254.20
(+107%)
Analyst growth 93.3%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$231.09
(+88%)
Market implied 93.3%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$81.29
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$134.19
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
5
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
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2026-03-23
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2026-03-20
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