HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
$41.39
0.75 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
-2.54%
30d:
+2.4%
90d:
+15.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HASI is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 552 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.03
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $41.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.15 to $42.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.02, while resistance sits at $44.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.27 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.02, while resistance sits at $44.13.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.27 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$38.15 -
$42.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.15 -
$42.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.02
Resistance Level
$44.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.50
Wall Street Target
$48.27
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
220.8%
Profit Margin
63.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.34
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$43.32
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$44.31
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.6%)
$98.62
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$55.94
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$47.55
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.97
Bull Case
$49.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$41.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$31.66
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HASI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Eckel
SELL
134398 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced HASI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.
