HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
$38.26
-0.37 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
-2.35%
30d:
-5.88%
90d:
+1.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HASI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.98
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $38.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.90 to $40.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 220.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $36.78, while resistance sits at $42.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.40 (+29.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $36.78, while resistance sits at $42.10.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.40 (+29.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.90 -
$40.71
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($49.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.90 -
$40.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.78
Resistance Level
$42.11
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.49
Wall Street Target
$49.40
(+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
220.8%
Profit Margin
63.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.03
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$37.80
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$37.58
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$38.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$99.32
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 11.1%)
$52.40
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$44.54
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.98
Bull Case
$46.20
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$38.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$29.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$38.95
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HASI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Eckel
SELL
134398 shares
2026-02-17
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.
