AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$30.02
0.10 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-4.85%
30d:
+4.31%
90d:
-49.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
AMSC is down 10.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $32 2026-04-17 with 239 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMSC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMSC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -13.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.45
10.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $30.02, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.94 to $32.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (41.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+103.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+103.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$29.94 -
$32.30
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 103.2% below Wall St target ($61.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.94 -
$32.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.15
Resistance Level
$34.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.13
Wall Street Target
$61.00
(+103.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 41.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$24.32
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$21.88
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→42)
$33.72
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 32.8%)
$70.32
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.8%)
$57.81
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 32.8%)
$49.14
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 26.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.11
Bull Case
$36.25
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$30.02
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$22.97
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.1 to 41.8
Stabilization Target:
$46.26
(+54.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.1%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Arthur H House
SELL
9703 shares
2025-08-08
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
