APO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$109.37
0.95 (0.88%)
▲
5d:
-0.98%
30d:
+4.56%
90d:
-26.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$237.25
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.31
25.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $109.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.28 to $116.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $101.36, while resistance sits at $114.70.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.29 (+42.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $101.36, while resistance sits at $114.70.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $154.29 (+42.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$105.28 -
$116.78
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.3% below Wall St target ($154.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$105.28 -
$116.78
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.36
Resistance Level
$114.70
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.04
Wall Street Target
$154.29
(+42.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.3%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.88
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$90.18
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$82.24
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$108.99
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.3%)
$390.35
(+260%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 17.3%)
$174.89
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 17.3%)
$148.65
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.54
Bull Case
$241.13
(+118%)
Analyst growth 95.7%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$219.20
(+99%)
Market implied 95.7%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$76.16
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$143.68
(+32.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
Martin Kelly
SELL
6000 shares
2025-12-01
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
