APO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$134.54
0.05 (0.04%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.34
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.05
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $134.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.99 to $148.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 115.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $128.88, while resistance sits at $146.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.00 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $128.88, while resistance sits at $146.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.00 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$136.99 -
$148.71
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($165.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$136.99 -
$148.71
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.88
Resistance Level
$146.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.65
Wall Street Target
$165.00
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
115.3%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.61
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$130.75
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$128.92
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$134.61
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.4%)
$314.41
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 15.4%)
$206.60
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$175.61
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.86
Bull Case
$195.57
(+45%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$177.80
(+32%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$90.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$140.42
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Leon D Black
SELL
915000 shares
2025-09-04
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Advanced APO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
