TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$17.29
-0.05 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
+6.73%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
-4.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.82
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $17.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.57 to $17.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.80 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.80 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.57 -
$17.49
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.57 -
$17.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.10
Resistance Level
$18.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.53
Wall Street Target
$19.80
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.7%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.08
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$16.88
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$16.67
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$17.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$46.76
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 5.8%)
$20.45
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 5.8%)
$17.38
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$30.10
(+74%)
Analyst growth 57.8%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$27.37
(+58%)
Market implied 57.8%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$11.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$17.97
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Alan Waxman
BUY
45000 shares
2026-03-10
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-09
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-06
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