TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$17.91
0.56 (3.23%)
▲
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
-6.72%
90d:
-10.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.95
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $17.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.88 to $19.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.27, while resistance sits at $19.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.11 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.27, while resistance sits at $19.88. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.11 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$17.88 -
$19.29
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.88 -
$19.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.27
Resistance Level
$19.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$20.11
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.7%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.84
(0%)
2-Year Target
$17.77
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$17.70
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$17.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 5.7%)
$47.17
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$21.16
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 5.7%)
$17.98
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$31.10
(+74%)
Analyst growth 57.5%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$28.28
(+58%)
Market implied 57.5%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$12.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$18.12
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Alan Waxman
BUY
45000 shares
2026-03-10
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-09
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-06
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