ARMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARMK - ARAMARK
$40.26
0.42 (1.05%)
▲
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
-3.8%
90d:
+7.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ARMK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.40
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.85
3.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $40.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.81 to $41.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.68, while resistance sits at $41.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.09 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.68, while resistance sits at $41.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.09 (+17.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$39.81 -
$41.20
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.09)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$39.81 -
$41.20
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.68
Resistance Level
$41.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.39
Wall Street Target
$47.09
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.14
(0%)
2-Year Target
$40.02
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$39.90
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$40.19
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.6%)
$95.08
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 17.6%)
$65.46
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 17.6%)
$55.64
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case
$85.54
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$77.76
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$26.44
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$40.55
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-12-10
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