CTAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTAS - Cintas Corp
$165.95
2.40 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
-2.41%
30d:
-5.96%
90d:
-15.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CTAS is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-06-18 with 1,476 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.44
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTAS is currently trading at $165.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.08 to $176.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.6) compared to its historical average (35.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $161.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CTAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.41 (+28.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $161.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CTAS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $212.41 (+28.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$168.08 -
$176.91
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($212.41)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$168.08 -
$176.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.16
Resistance Level
$176.86
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.59
Wall Street Target
$212.41
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.6 vs 35.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$158.48
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$151.35
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$144.54
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→35)
$166.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$226.91
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.0%)
$163.48
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$138.95
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.69
Bull Case
$208.09
(+25%)
Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case
$189.17
(+14%)
Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case
$111.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.6 to 35.2
Stabilization Target:
$190.95
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ronald W Tysoe
SELL
4666 shares
2026-04-20
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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Advanced CTAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTAS price and gamma walls.
