ASH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASH - Ashland Inc.
$61.16
-0.57 (-0.92%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.66
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.74
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASH is currently trading at $61.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.55 to $63.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$59.55 -
$63.25
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.55 -
$63.25
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.03
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.85
Resistance Level
$64.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.19
Wall Street Target
$65.20
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
135.6%
Profit Margin
-46.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.10
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$62.47
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$62.85
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.3%)
$172.83
(+180%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 18.3%)
$102.25
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 18.3%)
$86.91
(+41%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ASH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASH price and gamma walls.
