ASH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASH - Ashland Inc.
$52.27
-0.91 (-1.71%)
▼
5d:
+4.71%
30d:
-16.18%
90d:
-12.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.4% annual earnings decline despite 136% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.4% annual earnings decline despite 136% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.12
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.89
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASH is currently trading at $52.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.45 to $60.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 135.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.19, while resistance sits at $54.65.
Market Sentiment: ASH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.00 (+30.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.19, while resistance sits at $54.65.
Market Sentiment: ASH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.00 (+30.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$50.45 -
$60.68
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.1% below Wall St target ($68.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$50.45 -
$60.68
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.59
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.19
Resistance Level
$54.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.03
Wall Street Target
$68.00
(+30.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
135.6%
Profit Margin
-38.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.97
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$47.77
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$45.67
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$52.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.7%)
$186.25
(+256%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 20.7%)
$91.94
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 20.7%)
$78.15
(+50%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$59.70
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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