APD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APD - Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
$299.87
-6.33 (-2.07%)
▼
5d:
+1.65%
30d:
+1.58%
90d:
+2.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$381.17
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$236.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APD is currently trading at $299.87, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.13 to $302.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $291.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $291.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$295.13 -
$302.71
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($327.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$295.13 -
$302.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$291.52
Resistance Level
$307.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.05
Wall Street Target
$327.86
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 20.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$304.67
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$309.54
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$314.50
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$300.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.8%)
$393.26
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 7.8%)
$375.64
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$319.30
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.50
Bull Case
$505.01
(+68%)
Analyst growth 49.9%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$459.10
(+53%)
Market implied 49.9%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$208.22
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APD price and gamma walls.
