ATGE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATGE - Adtalem Global Education Inc. Common Shares
$105.68
2.13 (2.06%)
▲
5d:
-10.59%
30d:
+2.14%
90d:
-25.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
TODAY
Get Alerted When ATGE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATGE is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATGE is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.64
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.68
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATGE is currently trading at $105.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.47 to $118.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATGE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.16, while resistance sits at $124.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.50 (+52.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATGE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $102.16, while resistance sits at $124.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.50 (+52.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$105.47 -
$118.10
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATGE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.8% below Wall St target ($161.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$105.47 -
$118.10
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.16
Resistance Level
$124.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.75
Wall Street Target
$161.50
(+52.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.09
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$98.62
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$95.26
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$105.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$292.00
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 13.3%)
$153.84
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 13.3%)
$130.77
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.54
Bull Case
$174.11
(+68%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$158.28
(+53%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$78.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$116.93
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 5:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ATGE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa W Wardell
SELL
25477 shares
2025-08-28
Lisa W Wardell
SELL
18392 shares
2025-08-27
Manjunath Gangadharan
SELL
944 shares
2025-08-27
Top Rated Education & Training Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Education & Training Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TAL
TAL Education Group |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$15 | 57 HOLD |
|
EDU
New Oriental Education &… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$68 | 56 HOLD |
|
UTI
Universal Technical Inst… |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$37 | 59 HOLD |
|
KLC
KinderCare Learning Comp… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$6 | 59 HOLD |
|
COUR
Coursera Inc |
BUY
15 analysts |
$11 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced ATGE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATGE price and gamma walls.
