EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$51.85
-0.57 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
-8.0%
30d:
-6.53%
90d:
-13.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EDU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EDU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.66
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.99
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $51.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.66 to $57.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.80 (+36.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.80 (+36.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.66 -
$57.15
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.5% below Wall St target ($70.80)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.66 -
$57.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.37
Resistance Level
$56.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.15
Wall Street Target
$70.80
(+36.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.0%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$48.28
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$46.59
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$51.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 21.7%)
$169.71
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 21.7%)
$93.53
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 21.7%)
$79.50
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$90.03
(+74%)
Analyst growth 58.1%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$81.85
(+58%)
Market implied 58.1%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$35.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$57.63
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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