EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$47.03
-0.67 (-1.40%)
▼
5d:
+5.83%
30d:
-0.34%
90d:
-17.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Get Alerted When EDU Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.49
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.01
25.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $47.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.25 to $46.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.9) compared to its historical average (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.66, while resistance sits at $48.63.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.61 (+50.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.66, while resistance sits at $48.63.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.61 (+50.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.25 -
$46.91
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.1% below Wall St target ($70.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.25 -
$46.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.66
Resistance Level
$48.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.93
Wall Street Target
$70.61
(+50.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.0%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 12.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.63
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$42.36
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$40.20
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$47.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.4%)
$171.76
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 22.4%)
$86.24
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 22.4%)
$73.30
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$83.58
(+78%)
Analyst growth 59.3%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$75.98
(+62%)
Market implied 59.3%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$32.44
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 12.8
Stabilization Target:
$55.05
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Education & Training Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Education & Training Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TAL
TAL Education Group |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$16 | 49 HOLD |
|
COUR
Coursera Inc |
BUY
15 analysts |
$8 | 63 BUY |
|
LINC
Lincoln Educational Serv… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$57 | 64 BUY |
|
UTI
Universal Technical Inst… |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$43 | 59 HOLD |
|
KLC
KinderCare Learning Comp… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$4 | 56 HOLD |
