AUB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUB - Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
$42.26
-0.93 (-2.15%)
▼
5d:
+1.42%
30d:
+12.24%
90d:
+17.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
Get Alerted When AUB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.42
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUB is currently trading at $42.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.51 to $41.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.81, while resistance sits at $43.62.
Market Sentiment: AUB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.81, while resistance sits at $43.62.
Market Sentiment: AUB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.51 -
$41.10
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.51 -
$41.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.81
Resistance Level
$43.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.48
Wall Street Target
$45.25
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
86.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.5%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.61
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$45.01
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$46.45
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$108.43
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 7.3%)
$52.16
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 7.3%)
$44.34
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case
$81.89
(+94%)
Analyst growth 72.4%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$74.44
(+76%)
Market implied 72.4%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$29.37
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Nancy H Agee
BUY
650 shares
2026-04-20
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares In… |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$20 | 69 BUY |
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$74 | 65 BUY |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$256 | 62 BUY |
|
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd |
BUY
20 analysts |
$18 | 66 BUY |
|
RF
Regions Financial Corpor… |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$31 | 63 BUY |
