BDX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BDX - Becton, Dickinson and Co.

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$203.48
2.39 (1.19%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BDX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.29
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.48
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BDX is currently trading at $203.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.07 to $205.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BDX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $209.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $197.07 - $205.68
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($206.67)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $197.07 - $205.68
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $195.63
Resistance Level $209.12
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.66
Wall Street Target $206.67 (+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.2%
Profit Margin 7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 12.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $199.68 (-1%)
2-Year Target $198.28 (-1%)
3-Year Target $196.90 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) $200.59 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.3%) $425.23 (+112%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 6.3%) $241.46 (+20%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 6.3%) $205.24 (+2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.82
Bull Case $444.22 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case $403.84 (+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case $137.31 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 12.9
Stabilization Target: $204.86 (+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2025-09-29
Michael Feld SELL 58 shares 2025-09-26
Claire Fraser SELL 917 shares 2025-09-10

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Advanced BDX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BDX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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