BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$17.74
-0.43 (-2.37%)
▼
5d:
-7.56%
30d:
+9.24%
90d:
+3.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.95
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.84
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $17.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.85 to $18.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.6) is in line with its historical norms (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.90 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.90 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.85 -
$18.34
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.90)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.85 -
$18.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.41
Resistance Level
$19.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.61
Wall Street Target
$20.90
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.0%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.6 vs 2.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.15
(0%)
2-Year Target
$18.13
(0%)
3-Year Target
$18.12
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.08
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 20.3%)
$268.02
(+1375%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.6, Growth: 20.3%)
$31.64
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.2, Growth: 20.3%)
$26.90
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case
$41.49
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.6
Base Case
$37.72
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.6
Bear Case
$12.82
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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