BGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$4.84
0.03 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
-5.28%
30d:
-4.16%
90d:
+7.32%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.09
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.03
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $4.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.93 to $5.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$4.93 -
$5.45
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.75)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.93 -
$5.45
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.74
Resistance Level
$5.32
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.34
Wall Street Target
$4.75
(-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.54
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$4.27
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$4.01
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$4.86
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.3%)
$19.26
(+298%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 9.3%)
$6.32
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 9.3%)
$5.37
(+11%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$5.87
(+21.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew D Vogel
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-13
David L Wenner
SELL
19500 shares
2026-03-13
Martin C Schoch
SELL
11321 shares
2026-03-12
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