BGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BGS - B&G Foods, Inc.
$4.37
0.08 (1.86%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.37
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BGS is currently trading at $4.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.15 to $4.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $4.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BGS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $4.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$4.15 -
$4.48
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.15 -
$4.48
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.12
Resistance Level
$4.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.40
Wall Street Target
$4.20
(-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.9%
Profit Margin
-13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.23
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.18
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$4.12
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$4.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 90.9%)
$11.70
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 90.9%)
$4.41
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 90.9%)
$3.75
(-13%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$4.44
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BGS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BGS price and gamma walls.
