BHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BHC - Bausch Health Companies Inc

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$5.74
0.15 (2.68%) β–²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: BHC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 1368% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.85
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.50
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BHC is currently trading at $5.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.21 to $7.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.3) compared to its historical average (1.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1368.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.54, while resistance sits at $7.29.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.43 (+32.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $6.21 - $7.58
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 32.9% below Wall St target ($7.43)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.21 - $7.58
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.55
Resistance Level $7.30
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.33
Wall Street Target $7.43 (+32.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1368.0%
Profit Margin 3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 1.3 vs 1.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.24 (-6%)
2-Year Target $4.91 (-12%)
3-Year Target $4.60 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1β†’2) $5.52 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%) $115.82 (+1972%)
Base: (SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 7.4%) $6.92 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 1.1, Growth: 7.4%) $5.88 (+5%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case $12.45 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case $11.32 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case $3.85 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.3 to 1.6
Stabilization Target: $6.71 (+20.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Paulson BUY 34721118 shares 2025-08-14
John Paulson BUY 86409 shares 2025-08-13
John Paulson BUY 1156640 shares 2025-08-12

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BHC price and gamma walls.

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