BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$73.79
0.15 (0.20%)
▲
5d:
-0.7%
30d:
+2.41%
90d:
+5.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.84
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $73.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.41 to $74.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $71.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.40 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $71.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.40 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$71.41 -
$74.66
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.41 -
$74.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.81
Resistance Level
$76.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.00
Wall Street Target
$83.40
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.79
(0%)
2-Year Target
$73.79
(0%)
3-Year Target
$73.79
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$73.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$120.71
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$88.67
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$75.37
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$97.29
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.1%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$88.44
(+20%)
Market implied 20.1%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$50.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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