BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$74.45
0.40 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
-1.02%
30d:
-2.76%
90d:
+1.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BKH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.84
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $74.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.18 to $75.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.00 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.00 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$73.18 -
$75.76
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -3.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.18 -
$75.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.80
Resistance Level
$76.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.14
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.60
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$74.75
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$74.90
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$122.15
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$89.47
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$76.05
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$97.83
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.1%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$88.94
(+20%)
Market implied 20.1%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$50.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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